AzLytics

RETENTION

Know what a new customer is really worth.

Lifetime value for every month of new customers, after product costs and what you paid to win them. See which months bring customers who come back, and how long each group takes to pay you back.

  • A payback month for every cohort
  • LTV at 3, 6 or 12 months, next to nCAC
  • Weak months flagged before you repeat them
  • Repurchase rate, order depth and the products that bring people back

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AzLytics lifetime value: median payback, LTV at 6 months, average nCAC, LTV to nCAC and profit per customer, above a payback chart for three cohorts
Payback
When did they pay you back?
Every cohort gets its payback month.
Below average
A weak month stands out
Cohorts more than 15% below average are flagged.

SOUND FAMILIAR?

You know what a customer costs. Not what they’re worth.

So good ads get cut for looking too expensive, and weak months get repeated.

THE PROBLEM

You judge ads on the first order, so good customers look too expensive.

WITH AZLYTICS

Payback shows the month each group of new customers covered what it cost to win them, after product costs.

THE PROBLEM

Black Friday looked great. Did those buyers ever come back?

WITH AZLYTICS

Every month of first orders gets its own row, so a weak month stands out at a glance.

THE PROBLEM

One LTV number for every customer you ever had.

WITH AZLYTICS

Each cohort is measured the same number of months after its first order, so months are compared fairly.

HOW PAYBACK WORKS

See the month new customers pay you back.

For each month of new customers, AzLytics adds up what they spend, keeps your gross margin and takes away what it cost to win them. Where the line crosses zero, that group has paid you back.

Below the line, that month’s customers still owe you. Above it, they’ve paid for themselves.

Profit per customer

Net sales per customer × gross margin − nCAC

Payback chart: profit per customer by month since first order for three cohorts, against a break-even line
Cohort table: new customers, nCAC, payback month and repeat rate per month of first orders, then spending by month since the first order

COHORTS

Compare every month’s customers side by side.

One row per month of first orders: new customers, nCAC, payback month and repeat rate, then how much more they spend in each month after. Switch between running totals and month by month, dollars and index.

WHAT MOVES LTV

Find out why lifetime value moved.

Is it more orders, or bigger orders? One chart shows which is doing the work. Another shows lifetime value at 3 months for each cohort, with the weak months flagged.

Order value against order frequency over time, and lifetime value at 3 months per cohort with weak cohorts flagged

THE NUMBERS

Five numbers for your next budget call.

Measured at 3, 6 or 12 months after the first order. You choose.

Median payback

How many months a typical cohort takes to pay you back.

LTV

What a customer spends in their first 3, 6 or 12 months.

Average nCAC

What you paid for each new customer: marketing spend ÷ new customers.

LTV to nCAC

How many times a customer’s gross profit covers what they cost.

Profit per customer

What’s left after product costs and what you paid to win them.

ALSO IN RETENTION

Who comes back, how often, and why.

Three more views, from the same Shopify orders.

Order cohorts: new customers, orders per customer at 6 months, time to second order and share with 3 or more orders, above orders per customer by acquisition month

ORDER COHORTS

See how many times each month’s customers order.

Orders per customer, days to the second order and the share who reach three or more orders, for every month of new customers. A second table shows what share of each cohort placed a 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 5th and 6th order.

REPURCHASE RATE

Know who’s active, who’s slipping and who came back.

Your repurchase rate and the share of sales from repeat customers, against the previous period. Every active customer counts as new, reactivated or returning, and you choose after how many days a customer counts as lapsed.

See how many lapsed customers came back, and how many step up from a 1st to a 6th order.

Repurchase rate, revenue from repeat customers, repeat against new order value, active and lapsed customers, above active customers split into new, reactivated and returning
Repurchase by product: reorder share, days to reorder, products per customer, best and weakest gateway product, above a table of first products and how many of their customers came back

REPURCHASE RATE BY PRODUCT

Find the first product that brings people back.

For each product that starts a customer’s first order: how many came back, how many orders they placed and how long the second order took.

Pick a first product to see what those customers buy next, and whether they reorder the same item or buy something different.

Retention questions

What is customer lifetime value (LTV)?

What a customer spends with you over time. AzLytics measures it for each cohort at 3, 6 or 12 months after the first order, from your Shopify net sales.

What is a cohort?

All customers whose first order was in the same month. Comparing cohorts shows whether newer customers are better or worse than older ones.

How is payback worked out?

Net sales per customer × your gross margin, minus nCAC (marketing spend ÷ new customers). The payback month is the first month that number reaches zero.

Where does the gross margin come from?

You enter it once at the top of the page, and AzLytics remembers it for your store.

What’s the difference between new, reactivated and returning?

New customers placed their first order ever. Reactivated customers came back after more days than your lapsed setting. Returning customers ordered again within it.

What is a gateway product?

The highest-value item in a customer’s first order. Grouping customers by it shows which first products bring people back.

Why are some months empty?

A cohort only shows months that have finished. Empty means not reached yet. It never means zero.

Find the customers who pay you back.

Retention is one of four parts of AzLytics, with Profit, Attribution and Recovery Suite.

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